ATHLIXAI
SCENARIO SIM
Terminal homeDASHBOARD · ATHLIX::ZW01SCENARIO MODE · SIM ONLYMethodology
NOP #1
ACTIVE
ATHLIX::ZW01New Orleans PelicansPF

Zion Williamson

Generational physical profile undermined by recurring lower-body load failure. Career arc shows compounding injury frequency and rising body composition variance — wealth velocity now diverging from peer cohort.

Height
6'6"
Weight
284 lbs
Age · Pro
25y · 7y
Position
PF
Contract Value
$197.2M
Base Salary
$39.4M
Guaranteed
$92.5M
Endorsements
$16.4M
Career Stability
0
/ 100
ELEVATED
25.0 pts vs. baseline
Collapse
54%
Percentile
35th
Term NW
$403.9M
Career StabilityELEVATED
66
/100 25
Injury RiskCRITICAL
78
/100 0
Behavioral VolatilityELEVATED
39
/100 2
Earning CompressionELEVATED
28
/100 2
Retirement CollapseVOLATILE
42
/100 0
Wealth Trajectory · ATHLIX projected vs. cohort baseline
ProjectedBaselineCollapse
Risk Exposure Radar
Exposure Decomposition
Lower-body load79 / 38
Contract instability46 / 35
Endorsement decay45 / 32
Behavioral exposure38 / 30
Retirement liquidity36 / 40
Body composition64 / 30
Engine Insights · live recompute
auto-refresh
  • Stability profile ELEVATED (66/100). Manageable downside but structural inflection points present in this scenario.
  • Injury severity input at 78% — simulated earnings curve diverges sharply from the synthetic cohort baseline.
  • Synthetic cohort percentile: 35th. Simulated terminal net worth 403.9M.
Flash Flags
Lower-body load fatigue
Conditioning volatility
Guaranteed exposure: HIGH
Acute injury exposure
Salary cap risk
Comparable Players · k-NN
vs. 2022-23 · 26p/7r/4.6a
92
Kevin Durant 2014-15 · OKC
25.4p · 6.6r · 4.1a · 28% usg
85
Kawhi Leonard 2020-21 · LAC
24.8p · 6.5r · 5.2a · 28% usg
81
Paul George 2020-21 · LAC
23.3p · 6.6r · 5.2a · 30% usg
81
Stephen Curry 2018-19 · GSW
27.3p · 5.3r · 5.2a · 29% usg
81
Kyrie Irving 2022-23 · DAL
27.1p · 5.1r · 5.5a · 29% usg
Similarity = standardized-stat distance (pts/reb/ast/net/usg/ts/ast%). Source: Kaggle NBA Players (all_seasons.csv) · 1996-97 – 2022-23 · snapshot 2026-07-17