ATHLIXAI
SCENARIO SIM
Terminal homeDASHBOARD · ATHLIX::JM12SCENARIO MODE · SIM ONLYMethodology
MEM #12
ACTIVE
ATHLIX::JM12Memphis GrizzliesPG

Ja Morant

High-beta superstar with elite usage rate and elite injury exposure. Behavioral risk premium remains structurally elevated despite reputation rehab. Endorsement floor partially absorbs downside.

Height
6'2"
Weight
174 lbs
Age · Pro
26y · 7y
Position
PG
Contract Value
$197.2M
Base Salary
$38.6M
Guaranteed
$110.4M
Endorsements
$21.8M
Career Stability
0
/ 100
ELEVATED
▲ 11.0 pts vs. baseline
Collapse
45%
Percentile
41th
Term NW
$503.8M
Career StabilityELEVATED
69
/100▲ 11
Injury RiskVOLATILE
55
/100▲ 0
Behavioral VolatilityVOLATILE
81
/100▲ 2
Earning CompressionELEVATED
26
/100▼ 4
Retirement CollapseELEVATED
35
/100▼ 1
Wealth Trajectory · ATHLIX projected vs. cohort baseline
ProjectedBaselineCollapse
Risk Exposure Radar
Exposure Decomposition
Lower-body load56 / 38
Contract instability63 / 35
Endorsement decay43 / 32
Behavioral exposure80 / 30
Retirement liquidity33 / 40
Body composition47 / 30
Engine Insights · live recompute
auto-refresh
  • Stability profile ELEVATED (69/100). Manageable downside but structural inflection points present in this scenario.
  • Synthetic cohort percentile: 41th. Simulated terminal net worth 503.8M.
Flash Flags
Behavioral volatility ELEVATED
Endorsement cliff risk
Recovery trajectory: improving
Salary cap risk
Comparable Players · k-NN
vs. 2022-23 · 26.2p/5.9r/8.1a
86
LeBron James 2014-15 · CLE
25.3p · 6r · 7.4a · 32% usg
85
Dwyane Wade 2006-07 · MIA
27.4p · 4.7r · 7.5a · 34% usg
85
Derrick Rose 2010-11 · CHI
25p · 4.1r · 7.7a · 32% usg
83
Russell Westbrook 2013-14 · OKC
21.8p · 5.7r · 6.9a · 33% usg
82
Luka Doncic 2020-21 · DAL
27.7p · 8r · 8.6a · 35% usg
Similarity = standardized-stat distance (pts/reb/ast/net/usg/ts/ast%). Source: Kaggle NBA Players (all_seasons.csv) · 1996-97 – 2022-23 · snapshot 2026-07-17